CVOTER
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 6
- Mean absolute error
- 1.86percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.44
- Represented cycles
- 22012–2016
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 22, 2012through Nov 3, 2016
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2012 · 2016
6 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
6 shown · 6 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-11-03 | 1,625 | D+2.8 | D+2.1 | D+0.7 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-10-27 | 1,299 | D+1.1 | D+2.1 | R+1.0 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-10-20 | 1,414 | D+3.1 | D+2.1 | D+1.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-11-04 | 3,000 | D+1.0 | D+3.9 | R+2.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-10-30 | 1,074 | D+1.0 | D+3.9 | R+2.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-10-22 | 1,179 | D+1.0 | D+3.9 | R+2.9 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.