Clout Research
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 15
- Mean absolute error
- 6.23percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+3.17
- Represented cycles
- 52010–2017
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 19, 2010through Apr 15, 2017
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2010 · 2012 · 2013 · 2016 · 2017
15 eligible historical polls across 5 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
15 shown · 15 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2017_House-OS_GA-6 | House-G | 2017-04-15 | 453 | D+26.0 | D+28.4 | R+2.4 |
| 2016 | 2016_Gov-GS_OR | Gov-G | 2016-11-04 | 981 | D+11.1 | D+7.2 | D+3.9 |
| 2016 | 2016_Gov-GS_OR | Gov-G | 2016-10-21 | 928 | D+2.0 | D+7.2 | R+5.2 |
| 2013 | 2013_Gov-G_VA | Gov-G | 2013-10-22 | 640 | D+1.0 | D+2.5 | R+1.5 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_WI | Sen-G | 2012-10-31 | 1,074 | R+2.0 | D+5.5 | R+7.5 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2012-10-31 | 1,281 | R+5.0 | D+6.0 | R+11.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_WI | Pres-G | 2012-10-31 | 1,074 | D+2.0 | D+6.8 | R+4.8 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2012-10-31 | 1,281 | R+3.0 | D+3.0 | R+6.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_PA-12 | House-G | 2012-10-24 | 600 | R+5.0 | R+3.5 | R+1.5 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_NC-7 | House-G | 2012-10-24 | 600 | R+6.0 | D+0.2 | R+6.2 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_KY-6 | House-G | 2012-10-24 | 776 | R+4.0 | R+3.9 | R+0.1 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_PA | Sen-G | 2012-10-23 | 1,000 | D+1.2 | D+9.1 | R+7.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_VA | Sen-G | 2012-10-20 | 1,000 | R+3.3 | D+5.9 | R+9.2 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_VA | Pres-G | 2012-10-20 | 1,000 | R+2.1 | D+3.9 | R+6.0 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_WA-6 | House-G | 2010-10-19 | 1,262 | R+4.1 | D+16.1 | R+20.2 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.