Approval
Disapprove +10Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 43% · Disapprove 53%
- Field dates
- Jan 20–Apr 30, 2025
- Sample
- 22,508 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
Civiqs
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 39
- Mean absolute error
- 5.09percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+3.41
- Represented cycles
- 22020–2022
- Current archive
- 1canonical records
- History span
- Oct 13, 2020through Nov 6, 2022
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- Civiqs (D)
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2020 · 2022
39 eligible historical polls across 2 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
1 shown · 1 total
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
39 shown · 39 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_WI | Sen-G | 2022-11-06 | 739 | R+1.0 | R+1.0 | D+0.0 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2022-11-06 | 716 | R+5.0 | R+6.1 | D+1.1 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_MO | Sen-G | 2022-11-06 | 746 | R+15.0 | R+13.3 | R+1.7 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_IN | Sen-G | 2022-11-06 | 707 | R+11.0 | R+20.8 | D+9.8 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_WI | Gov-G | 2022-11-06 | 739 | D+3.0 | D+3.4 | R+0.4 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_OH | Gov-G | 2022-11-06 | 716 | R+14.0 | R+25.0 | D+11.0 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_NC | Sen-G | 2022-10-31 | 674 | 0 | R+3.2 | D+3.2 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_FL | Sen-G | 2022-10-31 | 772 | R+7.0 | R+16.4 | D+9.4 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_AZ | Sen-G | 2022-10-31 | 852 | 0 | D+4.9 | R+4.9 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_FL | Gov-G | 2022-10-31 | 772 | R+9.0 | R+19.4 | D+10.4 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_AZ | Gov-G | 2022-10-31 | 852 | R+2.0 | D+0.7 | R+2.7 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_NY | Sen-G | 2022-10-24 | 593 | D+15.0 | D+14.0 | D+1.0 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_IL | Sen-G | 2022-10-24 | 659 | D+16.0 | D+15.3 | D+0.7 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_IA | Sen-G | 2022-10-24 | 623 | R+8.0 | R+12.2 | D+4.2 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_NY | Gov-G | 2022-10-24 | 593 | D+11.0 | D+6.4 | D+4.6 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_IL | Gov-G | 2022-10-24 | 659 | D+17.0 | D+12.5 | D+4.5 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_IA | Gov-G | 2022-10-24 | 623 | R+12.0 | R+18.5 | D+6.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_IA | Sen-G | 2020-10-31 | 853 | D+3.0 | R+6.6 | D+9.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_WI | Pres-G | 2020-10-31 | 789 | D+4.0 | D+0.6 | D+3.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2020-10-31 | 1,136 | R+1.0 | R+8.0 | D+7.0 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_IA | Pres-G | 2020-10-31 | 853 | D+1.0 | R+8.2 | D+9.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-OS_GA | Sen-G | 2020-10-25 | 1,041 | D+26.0 | D+7.0 | D+19.0 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_MS | Sen-G | 2020-10-25 | 507 | R+8.0 | R+10.0 | D+2.0 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2020-10-25 | 1,041 | D+6.0 | R+1.8 | D+7.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_PA | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 1,145 | D+7.0 | D+1.2 | D+5.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_MS | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 507 | R+14.0 | R+16.6 | D+2.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_GA | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 1,041 | D+5.0 | D+0.2 | D+4.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_MN | Sen-G | 2020-10-19 | 840 | D+11.0 | D+5.2 | D+5.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_PA | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,577 | D+6.0 | D+1.2 | D+4.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_NV | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 712 | D+9.0 | D+2.4 | D+6.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_MN | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 840 | D+10.0 | D+7.1 | D+2.9 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 863 | D+4.0 | R+3.4 | D+7.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_VA | Sen-G | 2020-10-13 | 1,231 | D+11.0 | D+12.1 | R+1.1 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_NC | Sen-G | 2020-10-13 | 1,211 | D+6.0 | R+1.8 | D+7.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_CO | Sen-G | 2020-10-13 | 1,013 | D+11.0 | D+9.3 | D+1.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_VA | Pres-G | 2020-10-13 | 1,231 | D+13.0 | D+10.2 | D+2.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_NC | Pres-G | 2020-10-13 | 1,211 | D+5.0 | R+1.4 | D+6.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_CO | Pres-G | 2020-10-13 | 1,013 | D+12.0 | D+13.5 | R+1.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Gov-G_NC | Gov-G | 2020-10-13 | 1,211 | D+7.0 | D+4.5 | D+2.5 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.