CBS News/The New York Times
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 53
- Mean absolute error
- 3.73percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+0.43
- Represented cycles
- 121998–2018
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 13, 1998through Oct 16, 2018
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Participating organizations
- CBS News · The New York Times
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2000 · 2001 · 2002 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018
53 eligible historical polls across 12 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
3 shown · 53 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 1998_Sen-G_NY | Sen-G | 1998-10-23 | 1,235 | 0 | D+10.5 | R+10.5 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_NY | Gov-G | 1998-10-23 | 639 | R+35.0 | R+21.1 | R+13.8 |
| 1998 | 1998_House-G_US | House-G | 1998-10-13 | 600 | D+2.0 | R+0.9 | D+2.9 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.