Blum & Weprin Associates
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 17
- Mean absolute error
- 5.11percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+2.01
- Represented cycles
- 41998–2010
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 13, 1998through Oct 25, 2010
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2000 · 2002 · 2010
17 eligible historical polls across 4 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
17 shown · 17 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_TX | Gov-G | 2010-10-25 | 673 | R+12.0 | R+12.7 | D+0.7 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_TX | Sen-G | 2002-10-31 | 1,002 | R+9.0 | R+12.0 | D+3.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_TX | Gov-G | 2002-10-31 | 1,002 | R+12.0 | R+17.9 | D+5.8 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_NY | Gov-G | 2002-10-30 | 1,052 | R+16.0 | R+15.9 | R+0.1 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_TX | Sen-G | 2002-10-15 | 600 | R+10.0 | R+12.0 | D+2.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_TX | Gov-G | 2002-10-15 | 1,002 | R+15.0 | R+17.9 | D+2.9 |
| 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_NY | Sen-G | 2000-11-02 | 851 | D+7.0 | D+12.3 | R+5.3 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_NY | Pres-G | 2000-11-02 | 851 | D+20.0 | D+25.0 | R+5.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_NY | Sen-G | 2000-11-01 | 883 | D+7.0 | D+12.3 | R+5.3 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_NY | Pres-G | 2000-11-01 | 883 | D+24.0 | D+25.0 | R+1.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_NY | Sen-G | 2000-10-24 | 850 | D+7.0 | D+12.3 | R+5.3 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_NY | Pres-G | 2000-10-24 | 844 | D+24.0 | D+25.0 | R+1.0 |
| 1998 | 1998_Sen-G_NY | Sen-G | 1998-10-28 | 662 | D+4.0 | D+10.5 | R+6.5 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_TX | Gov-G | 1998-10-28 | 967 | R+47.0 | R+37.1 | R+9.9 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_NY | Gov-G | 1998-10-28 | 662 | R+26.0 | R+21.1 | R+4.8 |
| 1998 | 1998_Sen-G_NY | Sen-G | 1998-10-13 | 364 | R+8.0 | D+10.5 | R+18.5 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_NY | Gov-G | 1998-10-13 | 364 | R+31.0 | R+21.1 | R+9.8 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.