Benenson Strategy Group
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 12
- Mean absolute error
- 6.12percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+2.29
- Represented cycles
- 62006–2022
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 21, 2006through Oct 29, 2022
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2022
12 eligible historical polls across 6 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
12 shown · 12 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_US | House-G | 2022-10-29 | 1,000 | R+2.0 | R+2.7 | D+0.7 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_CO | Sen-G | 2014-10-16 | 600 | D+3.0 | R+1.9 | D+4.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_Gov-G_IN | Gov-G | 2012-10-20 | 701 | R+6.0 | R+2.9 | R+3.1 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_VA-5 | House-G | 2010-10-19 | 400 | R+1.0 | R+3.8 | D+2.8 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_FL-8 | House-G | 2008-10-22 | 402 | D+11.0 | D+4.0 | D+7.0 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_OH-15 | House-G | 2008-10-21 | 500 | D+9.0 | D+0.8 | D+8.2 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_KY-2 | House-G | 2008-10-21 | 401 | D+6.0 | R+5.2 | D+11.2 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_TX-22 | House-G | 2008-10-19 | 400 | 0 | R+7.1 | D+7.1 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_TN | Sen-G | 2006-10-27 | 560 | D+5.0 | R+2.7 | D+7.7 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_NY-25 | House-G | 2006-10-26 | 400 | R+2.0 | R+1.6 | R+0.4 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_PA-7 | House-G | 2006-10-24 | 400 | D+7.0 | D+12.8 | R+5.8 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_IA-3 | House-G | 2006-10-21 | 400 | D+20.0 | D+5.4 | D+14.6 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.