Approval
Disapprove +11Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 44% · Disapprove 55%
- Field dates
- Apr 18–Apr 21, 2025
- Sample
- 1,104 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Fox News
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Joint polling team
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 46
- Mean absolute error
- 4.47percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+1.48
- Represented cycles
- 102012–2025
- Current archive
- 38canonical records
- History span
- Oct 18, 2012through Oct 28, 2025
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- Beacon Research · Fox News
- Participating organizations
- Beacon Research · Shaw & Co. Research
- Cycles represented
- 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2020 · 2021 · 2022 · 2024 · 2025
46 eligible historical polls across 10 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
2 shown · 38 total
Approval
Disapprove +2Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 49% · Disapprove 51%
- Field dates
- Mar 14–Mar 17, 2025
- Sample
- 994 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Fox News
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
46 shown · 46 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NJ · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-28 | — | D+7.0 | D+14.4 | R+7.4 |
| 2025 | NJ · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-14 | — | D+5.0 | D+14.4 | R+9.4 |
| 2024 | PA · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-28 | — | D+2.0 | R+1.7 | D+3.7 |
| 2024 | NC · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-28 | — | D+1.0 | R+3.2 | D+4.2 |
| 2024 | MI · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-28 | — | D+3.0 | R+1.4 | D+4.4 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_WI | Sen-G | 2022-10-28 | 1,000 | R+3.0 | R+1.0 | R+2.0 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_PA | Sen-G | 2022-10-28 | 1,005 | D+3.0 | D+4.9 | R+1.9 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2022-10-28 | 1,002 | D+1.0 | D+1.0 | D+0.0 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_AZ | Sen-G | 2022-10-28 | 1,003 | D+2.0 | D+4.9 | R+2.9 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_WI | Gov-G | 2022-10-28 | 1,000 | R+1.0 | D+3.4 | R+4.4 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_PA | Gov-G | 2022-10-28 | 1,005 | D+16.0 | D+14.8 | D+1.2 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_GA | Gov-G | 2022-10-28 | 1,002 | R+6.0 | R+7.5 | D+1.5 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_AZ | Gov-G | 2022-10-28 | 1,003 | R+1.0 | D+0.7 | R+1.7 |
| 2021 | 2021_Gov-G_VA | Gov-G | 2021-10-26 | 1,015 | R+8.0 | R+1.9 | R+6.1 |
| 2021 | 2021_Gov-G_VA | Gov-G | 2021-10-12 | 726 | D+5.0 | R+1.9 | D+6.9 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 1,246 | D+8.0 | D+4.5 | D+3.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_MI | Sen-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,032 | D+8.0 | D+1.7 | D+6.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_WI | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,037 | D+5.0 | D+0.6 | D+4.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_PA | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,045 | D+5.0 | D+1.2 | D+3.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,018 | R+3.0 | R+8.0 | D+5.0 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_MI | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,032 | D+12.0 | D+2.8 | D+9.2 |
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-G_TN | Sen-G | 2018-10-29 | 718 | R+9.0 | R+10.8 | D+1.8 |
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-G_ND | Sen-G | 2018-10-29 | 789 | R+9.0 | R+10.9 | D+1.9 |
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-G_MO | Sen-G | 2018-10-29 | 741 | 0 | R+5.8 | D+5.8 |
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-G_IN | Sen-G | 2018-10-29 | 722 | D+7.0 | R+5.9 | D+12.9 |
| 2018 | 2018_House-G_ND-1 | House-G | 2018-10-29 | 789 | R+22.0 | R+24.7 | D+2.7 |
| 2018 | 2018_Gov-G_TN | Gov-G | 2018-10-29 | 718 | R+17.0 | R+21.0 | D+4.0 |
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-G_AZ | Sen-G | 2018-10-28 | 643 | 0 | D+2.3 | R+2.3 |
| 2018 | 2018_Gov-G_AZ | Gov-G | 2018-10-28 | 643 | R+18.0 | R+14.2 | R+3.8 |
| 2017 | 2017_Sen-GS_AL | Sen-G | 2017-12-09 | 1,127 | D+10.0 | D+1.6 | D+8.3 |
| 2017 | 2017_Gov-G_VA | Gov-G | 2017-11-04 | 1,239 | D+5.0 | D+8.9 | R+3.9 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-11-05 | 1,295 | D+4.0 | D+2.1 | D+1.9 |
| 2016 | 2016_House-G_US | House-G | 2016-11-05 | 1,295 | R+1.0 | R+1.1 | D+0.1 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-11-02 | 1,107 | D+1.5 | D+2.1 | R+0.6 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-10-24 | 1,221 | D+4.0 | D+2.1 | D+1.9 |
| 2016 | 2016_House-G_US | House-G | 2016-10-24 | 1,221 | D+2.0 | R+1.1 | D+3.1 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_NC | Sen-G | 2014-10-29 | 909 | D+1.0 | R+1.6 | D+2.6 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_IA | Sen-G | 2014-10-29 | 911 | R+1.0 | R+8.3 | D+7.3 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_OH | Gov-G | 2014-10-29 | 803 | R+15.0 | R+30.6 | D+15.6 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_KS | Gov-G | 2014-10-29 | 907 | D+6.0 | R+3.7 | D+9.7 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_IA | Gov-G | 2014-10-29 | 911 | R+17.0 | R+21.7 | D+4.7 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_US | House-G | 2014-10-26 | 734 | D+1.0 | R+5.9 | D+6.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-10-29 | 1,128 | 0 | D+3.9 | R+3.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_VA | Pres-G | 2012-10-24 | 1,126 | R+2.0 | D+3.9 | R+5.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2012-10-18 | 1,131 | D+3.0 | D+3.0 | D+0.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2012-10-18 | 1,130 | R+3.0 | D+0.9 | R+3.9 |
2 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (NYC-G). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.