Approval
Disapprove +10Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 44.5% · Disapprove 54.5%
- Field dates
- May 21–May 27, 2025
- Sample
- 3,469 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
AtlasIntel
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 57
- Mean absolute error
- 1.76percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+0.04
- Represented cycles
- 42020–2025
- Current archive
- 18canonical records
- History span
- Oct 27, 2020through Oct 30, 2025
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2020 · 2022 · 2024 · 2025
57 eligible historical polls across 4 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
6 shown · 18 total
Generic ballot
Dem +9.2Generic ballot
Dem 50.9% · Rep 41.7%
- Field dates
- May 21–May 27, 2025
- Sample
- 3,469 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +6.3Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 46.1% · Disapprove 52.4%
- Field dates
- Apr 10–Apr 14, 2025
- Sample
- 2,347 A
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +5.1Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 47.3% · Disapprove 52.4%
- Field dates
- Mar 7–Mar 12, 2025
- Sample
- 2,550 A
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Approve +0.6Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 50.3% · Disapprove 49.7%
- Field dates
- Feb 24–Feb 27, 2025
- Sample
- 2,849 A
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Approve +0.4Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 50.1% · Disapprove 49.7%
- Field dates
- Jan 21–Jan 23, 2025
- Sample
- 1,882 A
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
7 shown · 57 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_MI | Pres-G | 2020-10-31 | 686 | D+2.4 | D+2.8 | R+0.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_GA | Pres-G | 2020-10-31 | 679 | R+2.2 | D+0.2 | R+2.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_AZ | Pres-G | 2020-10-31 | 641 | R+2.3 | D+0.3 | R+2.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_PA | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 672 | R+1.1 | D+1.2 | R+2.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 660 | R+3.9 | R+8.0 | D+4.1 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2020-10-29 | 786 | D+0.1 | R+3.4 | D+3.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2020-10-27 | 1,726 | D+4.7 | D+4.5 | D+0.2 |
2 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (NYC-G). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.