Ascend Action
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 6
- Mean absolute error
- 14.96percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+4.99
- Represented cycles
- 12022
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 26, 2022through Nov 6, 2022
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2022
6 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
6 shown · 6 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_OK | Sen-G | 2022-11-06 | 682 | R+20.0 | R+32.2 | D+12.2 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-GS_OK | Sen-G | 2022-11-06 | 682 | R+12.0 | R+26.5 | D+14.5 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_OK | Gov-G | 2022-11-06 | 682 | R+3.0 | R+13.7 | D+10.7 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_OK | Sen-G | 2022-10-26 | 749 | R+17.0 | R+32.2 | D+15.2 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-GS_OK | Sen-G | 2022-10-26 | 749 | R+6.0 | R+26.5 | D+20.5 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_OK | Gov-G | 2022-10-26 | 749 | D+3.0 | R+13.7 | D+16.7 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.