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Pollster file

Angus Reid Global

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
31
Mean absolute error
3.19percentage points
Historical bias
R+1.67
Represented cycles
42010–2020
Current archive
9canonical records
History span
Oct 28, 2010through Oct 26, 2020
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
No additional reviewed aliases
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2010 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020

31 eligible historical polls across 4 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

9 shown · 9 total

Disapprove +24

Approve 35% · Disapprove 59%

Field dates
Apr 15–Apr 20, 2026
Sample
1,490 A
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +20

Approve 36% · Disapprove 56%

Field dates
Mar 2–Mar 5, 2026
Sample
1,529 A
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +23

Approve 35% · Disapprove 58%

Field dates
Mar 2–Mar 4, 2026
Sample
1,215 A
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +19

Approve 37% · Disapprove 56%

Field dates
Jan 16–Jan 20, 2026
Sample
1,838 A
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +9

Dem 47% · Rep 38%

Field dates
Aug 8–Aug 11, 2026
Sample
1,132 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +9

Dem 45% · Rep 36%

Field dates
Aug 8–Aug 11, 2026
Sample
1,525 A
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

31 shown · 31 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2020national · PresidentPres-G2020-10-262,231D+8.0D+4.5D+3.5
2016national · PresidentPres-G2016-11-031,151D+4.0D+2.1D+1.9
2012PA · SenateSen-G2012-11-03507D+7.0D+9.1R+2.1
2012OH · SenateSen-G2012-11-03540D+6.0D+6.00
2012PA · PresidentPres-G2012-11-03507D+4.0D+5.4R+1.4
2012OH · PresidentPres-G2012-11-03540D+3.0D+3.0D+0.0
2012WI · SenateSen-G2012-11-02454D+2.0D+5.5R+3.5
2012MI · SenateSen-G2012-11-02502D+13.0D+20.8R+7.8
2012FL · SenateSen-G2012-11-02525D+8.0D+13.0R+5.0
2012WI · PresidentPres-G2012-11-02454D+7.0D+6.8D+0.1
2012national · PresidentPres-G2012-11-021,019D+3.0D+3.9R+0.8
2012MI · PresidentPres-G2012-11-02502D+5.0D+9.5R+4.5
2012FL · PresidentPres-G2012-11-025250D+0.9R+0.9
2012WI · SenateSen-G2012-10-19502D+3.0D+5.5R+2.5
2012PA · SenateSen-G2012-10-19559D+5.0D+9.1R+4.1
2012OH · SenateSen-G2012-10-19550D+6.0D+6.00
2012MI · SenateSen-G2012-10-19575.5D+18.5D+20.8R+2.3
2012FL · SenateSen-G2012-10-19502D+15.0D+13.0D+2.0
2012WI · PresidentPres-G2012-10-19502D+5.0D+6.8R+1.9
2012PA · PresidentPres-G2012-10-19559D+9.0D+5.4D+3.6
2012OH · PresidentPres-G2012-10-195500D+3.0R+3.0
2012MI · PresidentPres-G2012-10-19551D+9.0D+9.5R+0.5
2012FL · PresidentPres-G2012-10-19502R+5.0D+0.9R+5.9
2012WI · GovernorGov-G2012-06-01524R+5.0R+6.8D+1.8
2010NY · SenateSen-G2010-10-29541D+26.0D+34.1R+8.1
2010CA · SenateSen-G2010-10-29485D+7.0D+10.0R+3.0
2010NY · SenateSen-G2010-10-29508D+21.0D+27.8R+6.8
2010NY · GovernorGov-G2010-10-29546D+17.0D+29.3R+12.3
2010CA · GovernorGov-G2010-10-29485D+5.0D+12.9R+7.9
2010OH · SenateSen-G2010-10-28492R+17.0R+17.4D+0.4
2010OH · GovernorGov-G2010-10-28460R+3.0R+2.0R+1.0

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.