Amber Integrated
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 8
- Mean absolute error
- 8.25percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+2.72
- Represented cycles
- 22020–2022
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 24, 2020through Nov 2, 2022
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2020 · 2022
8 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
8 shown · 8 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2022-11-02 | 600 | R+3.0 | D+1.0 | R+4.0 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_FL | Sen-G | 2022-11-02 | 600 | R+9.0 | R+16.4 | D+7.4 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_GA | Gov-G | 2022-11-02 | 600 | R+9.0 | R+7.5 | R+1.5 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_FL | Gov-G | 2022-11-02 | 600 | R+13.0 | R+19.4 | D+6.4 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_OK | Sen-G | 2022-10-27 | 501 | R+14.0 | R+32.2 | D+18.2 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-GS_OK | Sen-G | 2022-10-27 | 501 | R+11.0 | R+26.5 | D+15.5 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_OK | Gov-G | 2022-10-27 | 501 | R+1.0 | R+13.7 | D+12.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_House-G_OK-5 | House-G | 2020-10-24 | 500 | R+4.5 | R+4.1 | R+0.4 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.