Abt Associates
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 12
- Mean absolute error
- 4.01percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+1.48
- Represented cycles
- 62004–2017
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 15, 2004through Jun 7, 2017
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2004 · 2006 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017
12 eligible historical polls across 6 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
12 shown · 12 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2017_House-GSR_GA-6 | House-G | 2017-06-07 | 745 | D+7.0 | R+3.6 | D+10.6 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2016-10-19 | 839 | R+15.0 | R+13.8 | R+1.3 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_GA | Pres-G | 2016-10-19 | 839 | R+2.0 | R+5.1 | D+3.1 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2014-10-20 | 1,170 | R+2.0 | R+7.7 | D+5.7 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_GA | Gov-G | 2014-10-20 | 1,170 | R+5.0 | R+7.9 | D+2.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2012-10-23 | 783 | D+5.0 | D+3.0 | D+2.0 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_US | House-G | 2006-11-02 | 600 | D+15.0 | D+8.2 | D+6.8 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_US | House-G | 2006-11-02 | 679 | D+15.0 | D+8.2 | D+6.8 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2004-10-20 | 803 | R+5.0 | R+2.5 | R+2.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2004-10-20 | 803 | R+5.0 | R+2.5 | R+2.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2004-10-15 | 865 | R+1.0 | R+2.5 | D+1.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2004-10-15 | 865 | 0 | R+2.5 | D+2.5 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.