ABC News/The Washington Post
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 77
- Mean absolute error
- 3.05percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+1.00
- Represented cycles
- 171998–2022
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 17, 1998through Nov 1, 2022
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Participating organizations
- ABC News · The Washington Post
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2000 · 2001 · 2002 · 2004 · 2005 · 2006 · 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022
77 eligible historical polls across 17 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
27 shown · 77 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-11-02 | 845 | 0 | R+5.0 | D+5.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-11-02 | 845 | 0 | R+5.0 | D+5.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-11-01 | 504 | D+1.0 | R+5.0 | D+6.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-26 | 600 | R+2.0 | R+5.0 | D+3.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_MD | Gov-G | 2002-10-24 | 1,529 | 0 | R+3.9 | D+3.9 |
| 2001 | 2001_Gov-G_VA | Gov-G | 2001-10-24 | 1,010 | D+10.0 | D+5.1 | D+4.9 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2000-11-04 | 1,801 | R+3.0 | D+0.5 | R+3.5 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2000-11-03 | 1,741 | R+4.0 | D+0.5 | R+4.5 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2000-11-02 | 1,519 | R+3.0 | D+0.5 | R+3.5 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2000-10-31 | 1,032 | R+4.5 | D+0.5 | R+5.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2000-10-30 | 1,081 | R+3.5 | D+0.5 | R+4.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2000-10-29 | 1,020 | R+2.5 | D+0.5 | R+3.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2000-10-28 | 998 | D+0.5 | D+0.5 | R+0.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2000-10-27 | 1,432 | R+0.5 | D+0.5 | R+1.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2000-10-25 | 1,027 | R+4.0 | D+0.5 | R+4.5 |
| 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_VA | Sen-G | 2000-10-24 | 1,009 | R+2.0 | R+4.6 | D+2.6 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_VA | Pres-G | 2000-10-24 | 1,009 | R+4.0 | R+8.1 | D+4.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2000-10-23 | 1,037 | R+1.5 | D+0.5 | R+2.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2000-10-22 | 1,011 | R+0.5 | D+0.5 | R+1.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2000-10-22 | 1,070 | D+0.5 | D+0.5 | R+0.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2000-10-19 | 1,020 | R+2.5 | D+0.5 | R+3.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2000-10-19 | 1,020 | R+2.0 | D+0.5 | R+2.5 |
| 1998 | 1998_House-G_US | House-G | 1998-10-31 | 600 | D+0.5 | R+0.9 | D+1.4 |
| 1998 | 1998_House-G_US | House-G | 1998-10-25 | 600 | D+8.0 | R+0.9 | D+8.9 |
| 1998 | 1998_House-G_US | House-G | 1998-10-24 | 581 | D+2.0 | R+0.9 | D+2.9 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_MD | Gov-G | 1998-10-20 | 919 | D+5.0 | D+10.3 | R+5.3 |
| 1998 | 1998_House-G_US | House-G | 1998-10-17 | 548 | D+1.0 | R+0.9 | D+1.9 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.