ABC News/The Washington Post
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 77
- Mean absolute error
- 3.05percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+1.00
- Represented cycles
- 171998–2022
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 17, 1998through Nov 1, 2022
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Participating organizations
- ABC News · The Washington Post
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2000 · 2001 · 2002 · 2004 · 2005 · 2006 · 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022
77 eligible historical polls across 17 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
50 shown · 77 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_US | House-G | 2022-11-01 | 688 | R+2.0 | R+2.7 | D+0.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_PA | Pres-G | 2020-10-27 | 810 | D+7.0 | D+1.2 | D+5.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2020-10-27 | 824 | R+2.0 | R+3.4 | D+1.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_MI | Sen-G | 2020-10-23 | 789 | D+6.0 | D+1.7 | D+4.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_WI | Pres-G | 2020-10-23 | 809 | D+17.0 | D+0.6 | D+16.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_MI | Pres-G | 2020-10-23 | 789 | D+7.0 | D+2.8 | D+4.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_NC | Sen-G | 2020-10-15 | 646 | D+2.0 | R+1.8 | D+3.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_NC | Pres-G | 2020-10-15 | 646 | D+1.5 | R+1.4 | D+2.9 |
| 2018 | 2018_House-G_US | House-G | 2018-10-31 | 737 | D+7.5 | D+8.8 | R+1.3 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-11-05 | 2,220 | D+3.5 | D+2.1 | D+1.4 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-11-02 | 1,419 | D+4.0 | D+2.1 | D+1.9 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-11-01 | 1,151 | D+3.0 | D+2.1 | D+0.9 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-10-29 | 1,128 | 0 | D+2.1 | R+2.1 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-10-28 | 1,165 | D+1.5 | D+2.1 | R+0.6 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-10-25 | 1,109 | D+4.5 | D+2.1 | D+2.4 |
| 2016 | 2016_House-G_US | House-G | 2016-10-23 | 828 | D+1.0 | R+1.1 | D+2.1 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_US | House-G | 2014-10-25 | 758 | R+6.0 | R+5.9 | R+0.1 |
| 2013 | 2013_Gov-G_VA | Gov-G | 2013-10-26 | 762 | D+12.0 | D+2.5 | D+9.5 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-11-03 | 2,345 | D+3.0 | D+3.9 | R+0.8 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-10-30 | 1,293 | D+1.0 | D+3.9 | R+2.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-10-26 | 1,278 | R+1.0 | D+3.9 | R+4.8 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_VA | Sen-G | 2012-10-24 | 1,228 | D+7.0 | D+5.9 | D+1.1 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_VA | Pres-G | 2012-10-24 | 1,228 | D+4.0 | D+3.9 | D+0.1 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-10-22 | 1,394 | R+1.0 | D+3.9 | R+4.8 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_US | House-G | 2010-10-27 | 600 | R+4.0 | R+6.8 | D+2.8 |
| 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_MD | Sen-G | 2010-10-21 | 1,434 | D+37.0 | D+26.5 | D+10.5 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_MD | Gov-G | 2010-10-21 | 1,434 | D+14.0 | D+14.5 | R+0.5 |
| 2009 | 2009_Gov-G_VA | Gov-G | 2009-10-24 | 1,206 | R+11.0 | R+17.4 | D+6.4 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2008-11-01 | 2,470 | D+9.0 | D+7.3 | D+1.7 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2008-10-28 | 1,327 | D+8.0 | D+7.3 | D+0.7 |
| 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_VA | Sen-G | 2008-10-26 | 671 | D+31.0 | D+31.3 | R+0.3 |
| 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_VA | Sen-G | 2008-10-24 | 784 | D+30.0 | D+31.3 | R+1.3 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_VA | Pres-G | 2008-10-24 | 784 | D+8.0 | D+6.3 | D+1.7 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2008-10-24 | 1,308 | D+7.0 | D+7.3 | R+0.3 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2008-10-20 | 1,330 | D+11.0 | D+7.3 | D+3.7 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_US | House-G | 2006-11-03 | 600 | D+6.0 | D+8.2 | R+2.2 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_MD | Sen-G | 2006-10-24 | 1,003 | D+11.0 | D+10.0 | D+1.0 |
| 2006 | 2006_Gov-G_MD | Gov-G | 2006-10-24 | 1,003 | D+10.0 | D+6.5 | D+3.5 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_US | House-G | 2006-10-21 | 875 | D+14.0 | D+8.2 | D+5.8 |
| 2005 | 2005_Gov-G_VA | Gov-G | 2005-10-25 | 1,004 | D+3.0 | D+5.7 | R+2.7 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2004-10-30 | 2,904 | R+1.0 | R+2.5 | D+1.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2004-10-29 | 600 | R+0.5 | R+2.5 | D+2.0 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2004-10-25 | 600 | D+1.0 | R+2.5 | D+3.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2004-10-22 | 600 | R+1.0 | R+2.5 | D+1.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2004-10-21 | 600 | R+4.0 | R+2.5 | R+1.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2004-10-18 | 1,801 | R+4.0 | R+2.5 | R+1.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2004-10-16 | 789 | R+25.0 | R+27.7 | D+2.7 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2004-10-16 | 789 | D+3.0 | R+2.1 | D+5.1 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2004-10-15 | 600 | R+4.0 | R+2.5 | R+1.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2004-10-14 | 600 | R+3.0 | R+2.5 | R+0.5 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.