Rhode Island Senate polls 2026
Jack Reed (D) vs Raymond McKay (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
The polls and the poll average
drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its pollOct 28, 2026D+26.1today's poll average of 6 polls
- poll in the average · area is its weight
- trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average
The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.
Data table
| Days | Average as it stood | Trend line |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | D+26.1 | D+26.1 |
| Oct 11–Oct 27, 2026 | D+26.1 | D+26.1 |
| Oct 8–Oct 10, 2026 | D+21.5 | D+25.6 to D+26.0 |
| Sep 21–Oct 7, 2026 | D+19.4 | D+19.4 to D+25.4 |
| Aug 24–Sep 20, 2026 | D+18.9 | D+18.9 to D+19.4 |
| Jun 23–Aug 23, 2026 | D+17.3 | D+17.3 to D+18.9 |
| Apr 20–Jun 22, 2026 | D+18.0 | D+18.0 to D+17.3 |
In Senate races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at a quarter of its weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which leaves the average it reads the same for this race.
Every poll on file · 6
newest added first6 in the poll average · 4 primary polls on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Embold ResearchGeneral | 815 LV | D+23.0Jack Reed 55Raymond McKay 32Don't know 9Michael Bahry 4 | 0.62 | Poll release | ||
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 595 LV | D+20.0Jack Reed 53Raymond McKay 33Don't know 8Michael Bahry 5Someone else 1 | 0.43 | Poll release | ||
| ●Emerson CollegeGeneral | 800 LV | D+33.7Jack Reed 59.13Raymond McKay 25.44Don't know 8.56Michael Bahry 6.87 | 0.63 | Poll release | ||
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 722 LV | D+20.0Jack Reed 51Raymond McKay 31Don't know 13Michael Bahry 4Someone else 2 | 0.35 | Poll release | ||
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 627 LV | D+17.0Jack Reed 52Raymond McKay 35Don't know 12Someone else 1 | 0.16 | Poll release | ||
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 556 LV | D+18.0Jack Reed 52Raymond McKay 34Don't know 12Someone else 2 | 0.07 | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.