Rhode Island Senate polls
Jack Reed (D) vs Raymond McKay (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateD+17.2same figure as the race page
Polls33 recorded polls · 3 eligible for the aggregate · 3 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 24Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-24 (20 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 3
newest first3 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted · 4 primary polls on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Added | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 722 LV | Jack Reed 51Raymond McKay 31Don't know 13Michael Bahry 4Someone else 2+1 other release | 0.277 | Poll release | ||
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 627 LV | Jack Reed 52Raymond McKay 35Don't know 12Someone else 1+1 other release | 0.033 | Poll release | ||
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 556 LV | Jack Reed 52Raymond McKay 34Don't know 12Someone else 2 | 0.004 | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.