Florida Senate polls
Angie Nixon (D) vs Ashley Moody (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateR+3.0same figure as the race page
Polls66 recorded polls · 6 eligible for the aggregate · 6 with positive weight
Latest field dateSep 10Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-10 (4 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 17
newest first6 in the aggregate · 11 shown, not counted · 1 primary poll on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Added | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Quantus InsightsGeneral · Senate | 733 LV | Ashley Moody 50.1Angie Nixon 42.7+1 other release | 3d ago | 0.434 | Poll release | |
| ●Change ResearchGeneral · Senate | 1,107 LV | Ashley Moody 47Angie Nixon 47 | 4d ago | 0.608 | Poll release | |
| ●University of North FloridaGeneral · Senate | 848 LV | Ashley Moody 50Alexander Vindman 40+2 other releases | 0.096 | Poll release | ||
| Change ResearchGeneral · Senate · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 1,015 LV | Alexander Vindman 46Ashley Moody 46+2 other releases | not in the aggregate | Poll document | ||
| McLaughlin & AssociatesGeneral · Senate · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 800 LV | Ashley Moody 47Alexander Vindman 40 | not in the aggregate | Poll release | ||
| Global Strategy GroupGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 1,000 LV | Ashley Moody 46Alexander Vindman 43Don't know 12 | not in the aggregate | Poll release | ||
| Change ResearchGeneral · Senate | 2,070 LV | Alexander Vindman 47Ashley Moody 45+3 other releases | not in the aggregate | Poll release | ||
| Cherry CommunicationsGeneral · Senate · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 604 LV | Ashley Moody 48Alexander Vindman 40 | not in the aggregate | Poll release | ||
| Stetson UniversityGeneral · Senate | 848 LV | Ashley Moody 49Alexander Vindman 42+1 other release | not in the aggregate | Poll release | ||
| ●Stetson University Center for Public Opinion ResearchGeneral | 434 LV | Ashley Moody 49Alexander Vindman 42Don't know 8Someone else 1+1 other release | 0.003 | Poll release | ||
| Echelon InsightsGeneral · Senate | 406 LV | Ashley Moody 50Alexander Vindman 43+1 other release | not in the aggregate | Poll document | ||
| MDW CommunicationsGeneral · Senate | 1,834 LV | Ashley Moody 43Alexander Vindman 42+1 other release | not in the aggregate | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.