Colorado Senate polls 2026
John Hickenlooper (D) vs Mark Baisley (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageD+16.3the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls22 on file · 2 in the poll average
Latest field dateOct 20Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-20 (13 days old)
EditionNov 2the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
2 polls countedThe poll average, D+16.3, is of two polls, which run from D+14.0 to D+18.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
In Senate races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at a quarter of its weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which leaves the average it reads the same for this race.
Every poll on file · 2
newest added first2 in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●YouGovGeneral | 710 LV | D+18.0John Hickenlooper 57Mark Baisley 39Would not vote 3Someone else 1 | 2h ago | 0.62 | Poll release | |
| ●Lake Research PartnersGeneral · OTH sponsor · OTH partisan | 600 RV | D+14.0John Hickenlooper 52Mark Baisley 38Don't know 8Someone else 1 | 0.46 | Poll document |
Poll archive as of November 2, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.