WI-6 House polls 2026
Brad Smith (D) vs Glenn Grothman (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageR+22.0the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls22 on file · 1 in the poll average · 1 not counted
Latest field dateMay 28Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-05-28 (153 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
one poll countedThe poll average is one poll: Tavern Research, fielded through May 28, 2026, at R+22.0. With a single poll there is no trend to draw; it is listed below.
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which leaves the average it reads the same for this race.
Every poll on file · 2
newest added first1 in the poll average · 1 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Tavern ResearchGeneral · IND sponsor · IND partisan | 437 LV | R+22.0Glenn Grothman 61Brad Smith 39+2 other releases | 0.10 | Poll release | ||
| Change ResearchGeneral · IND sponsor · IND partisan | 640 LV | Glenn Grothman 41.69Michael Thurow 37.74Don't know 18.22Would not vote 2.35 | not in the average | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.