VT-AL House polls
Becca Balint (D) vs Gerald Malloy (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateD+33.6same figure as the race page
Polls22 recorded polls · 2 eligible for the aggregate · 2 with positive weight
Latest field dateJul 20Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-07-20 (55 days old)
EditionSep 11weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 2
newest first2 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted · 2 primary polls on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Added | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 949 LV | Becca Balint 63Gerald Malloy 25Don't know 9Adam Ortiz 2Someone else 1+1 other release | 0.107 | Poll release | ||
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 872 LV | Becca Balint 57Gerald Malloy 26Don't know 16Adam Ortiz 1Someone else 0+2 other releases | 0.042 | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-09-11 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.