Race polling · HOU-VT-AL

VT-AL House polls 2026

Becca Balint (D) vs Gerald Malloy (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageD+26.4the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page

Polls44 on file · 4 in the poll average

Latest field dateSep 21Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-21 (37 days old)

EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The polls and the poll average

drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its poll

Oct 28, 2026D+26.4today's poll average of 4 polls

poll in the average · area is its weight
trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average

The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.

Data table

The poll average as the edition published it for each stretch of days, and the trend line drawn over the same days.
Days	Average as it stood	Trend line
Oct 28, 2026	D+26.4	D+26.4
Sep 21–Oct 27, 2026	D+26.4	D+26.4
Jul 20–Sep 20, 2026	D+35.1	D+35.1 to D+26.4
Jun 23–Jul 19, 2026	D+31.0	D+31.0 to D+35.1

In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which leaves the average it reads the same for this race.

Every poll on file · 4

newest added first

4 in the poll average · 2 primary polls on file, not listed here

Pollster	Fielded	Sample	Result	Added	Weight	Source
●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral	Sep 21, 2026	830 LV	D+36.0Becca Balint 66Gerald Malloy 30Don't know 3Suzanne Seymour 1Someone else 0Ryan Walton 0Adam Ortiz 0Phoenix Altair 0	Oct 15	0.51	Poll release
●Braun ResearchGeneral	Sep 21, 2026	732 LV	D+16.7Becca Balint 46.92Gerald Malloy 30.25Don't know 17.77Suzanne Seymour 1.9Adam Ortiz 1.33None/other 1.16Ryan Walton 0.51Phoenix Altair 0.16+1 other release	Sep 28	0.48	Poll release
●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral	Jul 20, 2026	949 LV	D+38.0Becca Balint 63Gerald Malloy 25Don't know 9Adam Ortiz 2Someone else 1+1 other release	Jul 21	0.26	Poll release
●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral	Jun 23, 2026	872 LV	D+31.0Becca Balint 57Gerald Malloy 26Don't know 16Adam Ortiz 1Someone else 0+2 other releases	Jun 30	0.19	Poll release

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.