VA-2 House polls 2026
Elaine G. Luria (D) vs Jen Kiggans (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageD+2.2the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls22 on file · 2 in the poll average
Latest field dateOct 10Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-10 (19 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
2 polls countedThe poll average, D+2.2, is of two polls, which run from Tied to D+3.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+1.7.
Every poll on file · 2
newest added first2 in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic LeadershipGeneral | 702 LV | D+3.0Elaine G. Luria 46Jen Kiggans 43Don't know 10Someone else 2 | 0.59 | Poll release | ||
| ●Tulchin ResearchGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 700 LV | TiedElaine Luria 47Jen Kiggans 47+1 other release | 0.21 | Poll document |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.