Race polling · HOU-TX-35

TX-35 House polls

Johnny Garcia (D) vs Carlos De La Cruz (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageTiedthe polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page

Polls55 on file · 5 in the poll average

Latest field dateOct 19Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-19 (5 days old)

EditionOct 23the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The polls and the poll average

drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its poll

Oct 23, 2026Eventoday's poll average of 5 polls

poll in the average · area is its weight
trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average

The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.

Data table

The poll average as the edition published it for each stretch of days, and the trend line drawn over the same days.
Days	Average as it stood	Trend line
Oct 23, 2026	Even	Even
Oct 19–Oct 22, 2026	Even	Even
Oct 14–Oct 18, 2026	D+1.4	D+0.3 to D+0.1
Aug 31–Oct 13, 2026	R+1.0	R+1.0 to D+0.4

The forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+0.4.

Every poll on file · 5

newest first

5 in the poll average

Pollster	Fielded	Sample	Result	Added	Weight	Source
●The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and GovernmentGeneral	Oct 19, 2026	605 LV	R+1.0Carlos De La Cruz 48Johnny Garcia 47Would not vote 3Don't know 1Someone else 1	Oct 2321h ago	0.64	News coverage
●Washington Post/Schar SchoolGeneral	Oct 19, 2026	606 LV	R+1.0Carlos De La Cruz 48Johnny Garcia 47	Oct 2315h ago	0.64	News coverage
●Emerson CollegeGeneral · House	Oct 14, 2026	417 LV	D+2.0Johnny Garcia 51Carlos De La Cruz 49	Oct 222d ago	0.50	Pollster post
●Normington, Petts & AssociatesGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan	Oct 14, 2026	400 LV	D+2.0Johnny Garcia 47Carlos De La Cruz 45+1 other release	Oct 213d ago	0.49	Pollster post
●Normington, Petts & AssociatesGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan	Aug 31, 2026	500 LV	R+1.0Carlos De La Cruz 45Johnny Garcia 44+1 other release	Sep 5	0.33	Poll release

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.