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FORECAST55 DAYS OUT
Race polling · HOU-TX-35

TX-35 House polls

Johnny Garcia (D) vs Carlos De La Cruz (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateR+2.0same figure as the race page
Polls11 recorded poll · 1 eligible for the aggregate · 1 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 31Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-31 (9 days old)
EditionSep 9weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

hover, tap or Tab to any poll
last 30 daysR+5EVEND+5Sep ’26
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • trailing 30-day average
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 1

newest first

1 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedSampleResultWeightSource
Normington, Petts & AssociatesGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan500 LVCarlos De La Cruz 45Johnny Garcia 44+1 other release0.185Poll release

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.