TX-34 House polls
Vicente Gonzalez (D) vs Eric Flores (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateD+2.7same figure as the race page
Polls33 recorded polls · 3 eligible for the aggregate · 3 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 22Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-22 (22 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 4
newest first3 in the aggregate · 1 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Added | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterGeneral | 700 LV | Vicente Gonzalez 45Eric Flores 42Don't know 8Eddie Espinoza 3Chris Royal 2 | 0.287 | Poll document | ||
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterGeneral · House | 700 LV | Vicente Gonzalez 45Eric Flores 42Eddie Espinoza 3Chris Royal 2 | not in the aggregate | Poll document | ||
| ●Ragnar Research PartnersGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 400 LV | Eric Flores 44Vicente Gonzalez 41 | 0.016 | Pollster post | ||
| ●co/efficientGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 777 LV | Generic Republican 48Generic Democrat 44Don't know 8+1 other release | 0.004 | News coverage |
Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.