TX-34 House polls 2026
Vicente Gonzalez (D) vs Eric Flores (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
The polls and the poll average
drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its pollOct 28, 2026D+4.2today's poll average of 4 polls
- poll in the average · area is its weight
- trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average
The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.
Data table
| Days | Average as it stood | Trend line |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | D+4.2 | D+4.2 |
| Oct 19–Oct 27, 2026 | D+4.2 | D+4.2 |
| Aug 22–Oct 18, 2026 | D+1.0 | D+1.0 to D+4.2 |
| Jun 16–Aug 21, 2026 | R+2.1 | R+2.1 to D+1.0 |
| Apr 29–Jun 15, 2026 | R+1.0 | R+1.0 to R+2.1 |
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+4.6.
Every poll on file · 5
newest added first4 in the poll average · 1 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and GovernmentGeneral | 626 LV | D+7.0Vicente Gonzalez 50Eric Flores 43Don't know 2Would not vote 2Eddie Espinoza 2Someone else 1Chris Royal 1 | 5d ago | 0.61 | News coverage | |
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterGeneral · House | 700 LV | D+3.0Vicente Gonzalez 45Eric Flores 42Eddie Espinoza 3Chris Royal 2 | source not read by the model | Poll document | ||
| ●Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterGeneral | 700 LV | D+3.0Vicente Gonzalez 45Eric Flores 42Don't know 8Eddie Espinoza 3Chris Royal 2 | 0.33 | Poll document | ||
| ●Ragnar Research PartnersGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 400 LV | R+3.0Eric Flores 44Vicente Gonzalez 41 | 0.12 | Pollster post | ||
| ●co/efficientGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 777 LV | R+4.0Generic Republican 48Generic Democrat 44Don't know 8+1 other release | 0.09 | News coverage |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.