TX-28 House polls
Henry Cuellar (D) vs Tano Tijerina (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateD+8.4same figure as the race page
Polls33 recorded polls · 3 eligible for the aggregate · 3 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 22Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-22 (18 days old)
EditionSep 9weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- trailing 30-day average
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 3
newest first2 in the aggregate · 1 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterGeneral | 600 LV | Henry Cuellar 45Tano Tijerina 34Don't know 15Marlon Duran 6 | 0.304 | Poll document | |
| ●Pulse Decision ScienceGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 400 LV | Tano Tijerina 42Henry Cuellar 33Don't know 16Other named candidates 9+1 other release | 0.023 | Pollster post | |
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterGeneral · House | 600 LV | Henry Cuellar 45Tano Tijerina 34Marlón Durán 6 | not in the aggregate | Poll document |
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.