TX-23 House polls 2026
Katy Padilla Stout (D) vs Brandon Herrera (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageR+0.2the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls22 on file · 2 in the poll average
Latest field dateOct 7Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-07 (21 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
2 polls countedThe poll average, R+0.2, is of two polls, which run from Tied to R+2.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+2.2.
Every poll on file · 2
newest added first2 in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Normington, Petts & AssociatesGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 400 LV | TiedBrandon Herrera 46Katy Padilla Stout 46+1 other release | 7d ago | 0.43 | Pollster post | |
| ●Public Policy PollingGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 521 RV | R+2.0Rep 47Dem 45+3 other releases | 0.04 | Poll document |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.