TX-2 House polls
Shaun Finnie (D) vs Steve Toth (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageR+9.0the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls11 recorded poll · 1 in the poll average
Latest field dateOct 4Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-04 (4 days old)
EditionOct 8the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The polls and the poll average
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- poll in the average · area is its weight in it
- not in the average · shown, not counted
- poll average, day by day · each day from the polls fielded by then, ending on today's figure
- 30 days before this edition
The line is the polls’ average as it stood on each day: every poll at the margin it was published, those fielded by then, each weighted as of that day. It starts at the first poll it counts, steps on a poll's own field date and not before, and ends on today's figure. Each dot is a poll’s published margin; the line is the average of those margins. Hover for each day's figure.
Every poll on file · 1
newest first1 in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Impact ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 501 LV | R+9.0Steve Toth 46Shaun Finnie 37Don't know 16 | 4h ago | 0.58 | Pollster post |
Archive source date 2026-10-08. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.