RI-2 House polls
Democrat (D) vs Victor Mellor (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageD+16.1the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls11 recorded poll · 1 in the poll average
Latest field dateOct 11Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-11 (4 days old)
EditionOct 15the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
one poll countedThe poll average is one poll: Emerson College, fielded through Oct 11, 2026, at D+16.1. With a single poll there is no trend to draw; it is listed below.
The forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which leaves the average it reads the same for this race.
Every poll on file · 1
newest first1 in the poll average · 1 primary poll on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Emerson CollegeGeneral | 406 LV | D+16.1Seth M. Magaziner 55.18Victor Mellor 39.12Don't know 5.7 | 2d ago | 0.52 | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-10-15. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.