Race polling · HOU-PA-7

PA-7 House polls 2026

Bob Brooks (D) vs Ryan E. Mackenzie (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageD+4.9the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page

Polls44 on file · 4 in the poll average

Latest field dateOct 23Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-23 (5 days old)

EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The polls and the poll average

drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its poll

Oct 28, 2026D+4.9today's poll average of 4 polls

poll in the average · area is its weight
trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average

The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.

Data table

The poll average as the edition published it for each stretch of days, and the trend line drawn over the same days.
Days	Average as it stood	Trend line
Oct 28, 2026	D+4.9	D+4.9
Oct 23–Oct 27, 2026	D+4.9	D+4.9
Oct 22, 2026	D+4.9	D+4.9
Sep 20–Oct 21, 2026	D+4.7	D+4.7 to D+4.9
Jul 2–Sep 19, 2026	D+4.0	D+4.0 to D+4.7

In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+3.9.

Every poll on file · 4

newest added first

4 in the poll average

Pollster	Fielded	Sample	Result	Added	Weight	Source
●RedBox ResearchGeneral · D sponsor · D partisan	Oct 23, 2026	644 LV	D+5.0Bob Brooks 49Ryan E. Mackenzie 44	Oct 2812h ago	0.65	Poll release
●The New York Times/Siena CollegeGeneral	Oct 22, 2026	401 LV	D+5.1Bob Brooks 49.25Ryan E. Mackenzie 44.15Don't know 6.14Someone else 0.46	Oct 254d ago	0.51	News coverage
●Franklin & Marshall CollegeGeneral	Sep 20, 2026	350 RV	D+5.0Bob Brooks 45Ryan E. Mackenzie 40Don't know 16	Oct 15	0.33	Poll release
●GBAOGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan	Jul 2, 2026	550 LV	D+4.0Bob Brooks 47Ryan Mackenzie 43+1 other release	Jul 20	0.16	Poll document

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.