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Forecast6 days out
Race polling · HOU-OH-10

OH-10 House polls 2026

Kristina Knickerbocker (D) vs Mike Turner (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageR+1.4the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls44 on file · 3 in the poll average · 1 not counted
Latest field dateOct 13Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-13 (15 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The poll average

3 polls counted

The poll average, R+1.4, is of three polls, which run from R+7.0 to D+3.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.

In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+3.4.

Every poll on file · 4

newest added first

3 in the poll average · 1 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedSampleResultAddedWeightSource
DCCC Targeting and Analytics DepartmentGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan535 LVD+3.0Kristina Knickerbocker 47Mike Turner 44Thomas McMasters 4counted once · listed twicePoll release
●DCCC Targeting TeamGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan535 LVD+3.0Kristina Knickerbocker 47Mike Turner 44Thomas McMasters 40.53Poll release
●Global Strategy GroupGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan700 LVR+7.0Mike Turner 49Kristina Knickerbocker 42+1 other release0.23News coverage
●FM3 ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan— LVR+7.0Mike Turner 48Kristina Knickerbocker 41+1 other release0.18Poll document

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.