Race polling · HOU-OH-1

OH-1 House polls 2026

Greg Landsman (D) vs Eric Conroy (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageD+5.4the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page

Polls44 on file · 4 in the poll average

Latest field dateOct 23Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-23 (5 days old)

EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The polls and the poll average

drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its poll

Oct 28, 2026D+5.4today's poll average of 4 polls

poll in the average · area is its weight
trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average

The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.

Data table

The poll average as the edition published it for each stretch of days, and the trend line drawn over the same days.
Days	Average as it stood	Trend line
Oct 28, 2026	D+5.4	D+5.4
Oct 23–Oct 27, 2026	D+5.4	D+5.4
Oct 21–Oct 22, 2026	D+2.8	D+5.3 to D+5.4
Oct 2–Oct 20, 2026	D+2.3	D+2.3 to D+5.2
Aug 24–Oct 1, 2026	D+3.3	D+3.3 to D+2.3

In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+5.0.

Every poll on file · 4

newest added first

4 in the poll average

Pollster	Fielded	Sample	Result	Added	Weight	Source
●RedBox ResearchGeneral · D sponsor · D partisan	Oct 23, 2026	821 LV	D+9.0Greg Landsman 48Eric Conroy 39	Oct 2812h ago	0.74	Poll release
●Quantus InsightsGeneral	Oct 21, 2026	561 LV	D+3.7Greg Landsman 47.6Eric Conroy 43.9Would not vote 3.9Don't know 2.3Someone else 1.6Nathan Weise 0.7	Oct 245d ago	0.59	Poll release
●Torchlight StrategiesGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan	Oct 2, 2026	400 LV	D+1.6Greg Landsman 45.8Eric Conroy 44.2Nathan Weise 5.4Don't know 4.6+1 other release	Oct 16	0.40	Pollster post
●Quantus InsightsGeneral	Aug 24, 2026	509 LV	D+3.3Greg Landsman 47.9Eric Conroy 44.6Don't know 5.1Someone else 2.4	Aug 30	0.29	Poll release

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.