NY-21 House polls
Blake Gendebien (D) vs Anthony Constantino (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateR+5.2same figure as the race page
Polls44 recorded polls · 4 eligible for the aggregate · 4 with positive weight
Latest field dateSep 2Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-02 (7 days old)
EditionSep 9weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- trailing 30-day average
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 4
newest first4 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Impact ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 500 LV | Anthony Constantino 47Blake Gendebien 44Don't know 9 | 0.235 | News coverage | |
| ●J.L. PartnersGeneral | 500 LV | Anthony Constantino 53Blake Gendebien 40Don't know 7+1 other release | 0.235 | News coverage | |
| ●SurveyUSAGeneral | 612 LV | Blake Gendebien 43Anthony Constantino 39Don't know 13Chris Schmidt 5+1 other release | 0.244 | Poll release | |
| ●Impact ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 500 LV | Anthony Constantino 45Blake Gendebien 44Don't know 11 | 0.011 | News coverage |
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.