NV-2 House polls 2026
Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) vs David Flippo (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageR+0.8the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls33 on file · 2 in the poll average · 1 not counted
Latest field dateSep 3Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-03 (56 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
2 polls countedThe poll average, R+0.8, is of two polls, which run from R+3.0 to D+1.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+2.8.
Every poll on file · 3
newest added first2 in the poll average · 1 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy PollingGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 560 LV | R+2.0David Flippo 46Teresa Benitez-Thompson 44+1 other release | 7d ago | not in the average | Pollster post | |
| ●GBAOGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 500 LV | D+1.0Teresa Benitez-Thompson 38David Flippo 37Lynn Chapman 14 | 0.32 | Poll release | ||
| ●Strategies 360General · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 400 LV | R+3.0David Flippo 45Teresa Benitez-Thompson 42Lynn Chapman 7Don't know 6Someone else 1 | 0.26 | Poll document |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.