NM-2 House polls
Gabriel Vasquez (D) vs Greg Cunningham (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageD+3.4the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls33 on file · 3 in the poll average
Latest field dateOct 9Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-09 (15 days old)
EditionOct 24the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
3 polls countedThe poll average, D+3.4, is of three polls, which run from D+2.0 to D+4.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
The forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+3.6.
Every poll on file · 3
newest first3 in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Research & Polling Inc.General | 383 LV | D+4.0Gabriel Vasquez 48Greg Cunningham 44Don't know 8 | 0.45 | Poll release | ||
| ●SurveyUSAGeneral | 554 LV | D+3.0Gabriel Vasquez 46Greg Cunningham 43Don't know 11 | 0.35 | Poll release | ||
| ●co/efficientGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 879 LV | D+2.0Gabriel Vasquez 43Greg Cunningham 41Don't know 16+1 other release | 0.10 | News coverage |
Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.