NM-2 House polls
Gabe Vasquez (D) vs Greg Cunningham (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateD+3.0same figure as the race page
Polls22 recorded polls · 2 eligible for the aggregate · 2 with positive weight
Latest field dateSep 2Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-02 (7 days old)
EditionSep 9weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- trailing 30-day average
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 2
newest first2 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●co/efficientGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 879 LV | Generic Democrat 45Generic Republican 45Don't know 10+1 other release | 0.005 | News coverage | |
| ●SurveyUSAGeneral · House | 554 LV | Gabe Vasquez 46Greg Cunningham 43 | 0.530 | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.