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Forecast5 days out
Race polling · HOU-NJ-7

NJ-7 House polls 2026

Rebecca Bennett (D) vs Thomas H. Kean Jr. (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageD+4.8the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls22 on file · 2 in the poll average
Latest field dateSep 12Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-12 (47 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The poll average

2 polls counted

The poll average, D+4.8, is of two polls, which run from D+4.0 to D+5.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.

In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+4.4.

Every poll on file · 2

newest added first

2 in the poll average

PollsterFieldedSampleResultAddedWeightSource
●StimSight ResearchGeneral498 LVD+5.0Rebecca Bennett 47Thomas H. Kean Jr. 42Don't know 10Seamus O'Toole 10.36Poll release
●Z to A ResearchGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan430 LVD+4.0Rebecca Bennett 47Tom Kean Jr. 43+2 other releases0.09Poll release

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.