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Forecast5 days out
Race polling · HOU-NH-2

NH-2 House polls 2026

Maggie Goodlander (D) vs Lily Tang Williams (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageD+17.3the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls1212 on file · 9 in the poll average · 3 not counted
Latest field dateOct 20Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-20 (9 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The polls and the poll average

drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its poll

Oct 28, 2026D+17.3today's poll average of 9 polls

R+5EvenD+5D+10D+15D+20D+25Oct ’25Jan ’26AprJulOct
  • poll in the average · area is its weight
  • trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average

The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.

Data table
The poll average as the edition published it for each stretch of days, and the trend line drawn over the same days.
DaysAverage as it stoodTrend line
Oct 28, 2026D+17.3D+17.3
Oct 20–Oct 27, 2026D+17.3D+17.3
Sep 21–Oct 19, 2026D+18.5D+18.5 to D+17.3
Aug 18–Sep 20, 2026D+15.5D+15.5 to D+18.5
Jun 25–Aug 17, 2026D+16.1D+16.1 to D+15.5
Mar 18–Jun 24, 2026D+12.0D+12.0 to D+16.1
Jan 19–Mar 17, 2026D+11.9D+11.9 to D+12.0
Nov 19–Jan 18, 2026D+9.3D+9.3 to D+11.9
Sep 23–Nov 18, 2025D+14.9D+14.9 to D+9.3
Aug 27–Sep 22, 2025D+18.0D+18.0 to D+15.0

In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which leaves the average it reads the same for this race.

Every poll on file · 12

newest added first

9 in the poll average · 3 shown, not counted · 8 primary polls on file, not listed here

PollsterFieldedSampleResultAddedWeightSource
Saint AnselmGeneral · House861 LVD+16.0Maggie Goodlander 54Lily Tang Williams 385d agonot in the averagePoll release
●St. AnselmGeneral811 LVD+16.0Maggie Goodlander 54Lily Tang Williams 38Don't know 5Someone else 36d ago0.71Poll release
●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral694 LVD+21.0Maggie Goodlander 56Lily Tang Williams 35Don't know 6Robbie Mahrou 3Someone else 00.47Poll release
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterGeneral · House701 LVD+15.0Maggie Goodlander 50Lily Tang Williams 35counted once · listed twicePoll release
●St. AnselmGeneral701 LVD+15.0Maggie Goodlander 50Lily Tang Williams 35Don't know 160.32Poll release
Saint AnselmGeneral · House1,614 RVD+19.0Maggie Goodlander 50Lily Tang Williams 31not in the averagePoll release
●St. AnselmGeneral802 RVD+19.0Maggie Goodlander 50Lily Tang Williams 31Don't know 190.18Poll release
●St. AnselmGeneral739 RVD+12.0Maggie Goodlander 48Lily Tang Williams 36Don't know 160.06Poll release
●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral1,094 LVD+14.0Maggie Goodlander 54Lily Tang Williams 40Don't know 3Someone else 20.03Poll release
●St. AnselmGeneral1,102 RVD+5.0Maggie Goodlander 40Lily Tang Williams 35Don't know 250.02Poll release
●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral508 LVD+12.0Maggie Goodlander 51Lily Tang Williams 39Don't know 8Someone else 20.01Poll release
●St. AnselmGeneral881 RVD+18.0Maggie Goodlander 49Lily Tang Williams 31Don't know 200.01Poll release

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.