NH-2 House polls
Maggie Goodlander (D) vs Lily Tang Williams (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateD+16.2same figure as the race page
Polls77 recorded polls · 7 eligible for the aggregate · 7 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 18Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-18 (26 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 9
newest first8 in the aggregate · 1 shown, not counted · 8 primary polls on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Added | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Saint Anselm College Survey CenterGeneral · House | 701 LV | Maggie Goodlander 50Lily Tang Williams 35 | 0.285 | Poll release | ||
| ●St. AnselmGeneral | 701 LV | Maggie Goodlander 50Lily Tang Williams 35Don't know 16 | 0.285 | Poll release | ||
| Saint AnselmGeneral · House | 1,614 RV | Maggie Goodlander 50Lily Tang Williams 31 | not in the aggregate | Poll release | ||
| ●St. AnselmGeneral | 802 RV | Maggie Goodlander 50Lily Tang Williams 31Don't know 19 | 0.051 | Poll release | ||
| ●St. AnselmGeneral | 739 RV | Maggie Goodlander 48Lily Tang Williams 36Don't know 16 | 0.002 | Poll release | ||
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 1,094 LV | Maggie Goodlander 54Lily Tang Williams 40Don't know 3Someone else 2 | 0.000 | Poll release | ||
| ●St. AnselmGeneral | 1,102 RV | Maggie Goodlander 40Lily Tang Williams 35Don't know 25 | 0.000 | Poll release | ||
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 508 LV | Maggie Goodlander 51Lily Tang Williams 39Don't know 8Someone else 2 | 0.000 | Poll release | ||
| ●St. AnselmGeneral | 881 RV | Maggie Goodlander 49Lily Tang Williams 31Don't know 20 | 0.000 | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.