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Forecast5 days out
Race polling · HOU-NC-7

NC-7 House polls 2026

Kimberly Hardy (D) vs David Rouzer (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageR+6.0the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls11 on file · 1 in the poll average
Latest field dateAug 20Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-20 (70 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The poll average

one poll counted

The poll average is one poll: Public Policy Polling, fielded through Aug 20, 2026, at R+6.0. With a single poll there is no trend to draw; it is listed below.

In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+8.0.

Every poll on file · 1

newest added first

1 in the poll average

PollsterFieldedSampleResultAddedWeightSource
●Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan517 RVR+6.0David Rouzer 45Kimberly Hardy 39Don't know 13Maad Abu-Ghazalah 3+2 other releases0.28Poll document

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.