NC-3 House polls 2026
Raymond Smith Jr. (D) vs Greg Murphy (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageR+3.0the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls11 on file · 1 in the poll average
Latest field dateAug 2Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-02 (87 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
one poll countedThe poll average is one poll: Tulchin Research, fielded through Aug 2, 2026, at R+3.0. With a single poll there is no trend to draw; it is listed below.
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+5.0.
Every poll on file · 1
newest added first1 in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Tulchin ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | — LV | R+3.0Greg Murphy 44Raymond Smith Jr. 41 | 0.24 | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.