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Forecast5 days out
Race polling · HOU-MN-2

MN-2 House polls 2026

Matt Little (D) vs Eric Pratt (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageD+10.2the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls22 on file · 2 in the poll average
Latest field dateSep 13Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-13 (46 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The poll average

2 polls counted

The poll average, D+10.2, is of two polls, which run from D+5.0 to D+12.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.

In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+9.2.

Every poll on file · 2

newest added first

2 in the poll average

PollsterFieldedSampleResultAddedWeightSource
●Impact ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan500 LVD+12.0Matt Little 52Eric Pratt 400.36Pollster post
●Harper PollingGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan415 LVMatt Klein 43Eric Pratt 42+2 other releases0.12Poll release

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.