MI-4 House polls 2026
Sean McCann (D) vs Bill Huizenga (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
The polls and the poll average
drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its pollOct 28, 2026R+1.6today's poll average of 5 polls
- poll in the average · area is its weight
- trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average
The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.
Data table
| Days | Average as it stood | Trend line |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | R+1.6 | R+1.6 |
| Oct 23–Oct 27, 2026 | R+1.6 | R+1.6 |
| Sep 16–Oct 22, 2026 | D+0.7 | D+0.7 to R+1.6 |
| Jun 1–Sep 15, 2026 | D+0.4 | D+0.4 to D+0.7 |
| Mar 14–May 31, 2026 | R+5.0 | R+5.0 to D+0.4 |
| Nov 21–Mar 13, 2026 | R+2.0 | R+2.0 to R+5.0 |
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+2.2.
Every poll on file · 5
newest added first5 in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●RedBox ResearchGeneral | 787 LV | R+3.0Bill Huizenga 47Sean McCann 44 | 3d ago | 0.72 | Poll release | |
| ●GBAOGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 500 LV | D+1.0Sean McCann 47Bill Huizenga 46Don't know 7 | 0.37 | Poll document | ||
| ●Ragnar Research PartnersGeneral · House · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 400 LV | R+1.0Rep 43Dem 42+2 other releases | 0.04 | News coverage | ||
| ●GBAOGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 500 LV | D+3.0Sean McCann 48Bill Huizenga 45Don't know 7 | 0.11 | News coverage | ||
| ●Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 559 RV | R+2.0Bill Huizenga 44Sean McCann 42Don't know 15 | 0.01 | Pollster post |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.