MI-13 House polls 2026
Donavan McKinney (D) vs Taras Nykoriak (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageD+50.0the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls11 on file · 1 in the poll average
Latest field dateOct 30Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-30 (2 days old)
EditionOct 31the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
one poll countedThe poll average is one poll: Center for Strategic Politics, fielded through Oct 30, 2026, at D+50.0. With a single poll there is no trend to draw; it is listed below.
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+48.0.
Every poll on file · 1
newest added first1 in the poll average · 1 primary poll on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Center for Strategic PoliticsGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 310 LV | D+50.0Donavan McKinney 69Taras Nykoriak 19Don't know 8Would not vote 2Christopher Dardzinski 1Simone Coleman 1 | 11h ago | 0.47 | Poll release |
Poll archive as of November 1, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.