MI-10 House polls 2026
Christina Hines (D) vs Mike Bouchard (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageR+3.7the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls33 on file · 2 in the poll average · 1 not counted
Latest field dateOct 23Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-23 (5 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
2 polls countedThe poll average, R+3.7, is of two polls, which run from Tied to R+5.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+4.2.
Every poll on file · 3
newest added first2 in the poll average · 1 shown, not counted · 5 primary polls on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●RedBox ResearchGeneral | 889 LV | R+5.0Mike Bouchard 47Christina Hines 42 | 3d ago | 0.77 | Poll release | |
| ●Global Strategy GroupGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 600 LV | TiedChristina Hines 45Michael Bouchard 45+1 other release | 0.28 | Poll release | ||
| Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 592 RV | Mike Bouchard 44Tim Greimel 42+2 other releases | tests a different matchup | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.