KY-6 House polls
Zach Dembo (D) vs Ralph Alvarado (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateR+0.6same figure as the race page
Polls44 recorded polls · 4 eligible for the aggregate · 4 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 23Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-23 (21 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 4
newest first4 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Added | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Lake Research PartnersGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | — LV | Zach Dembo 45Ralph Alvarado 44 | 0.199 | Poll release | ||
| ●DCCC Targeting TeamGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 474 LV | Zach Dembo 47Ralph Alvarado 47Don't know 6 | 0.076 | Poll release | ||
| ●GQRGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | — LV | Ralph Alvarado 42Zach Dembo 39Don't know 19 | 0.032 | Poll release | ||
| ●Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 675 RV | Ryan Dotson 37Cherlynn Stevenson 36+3 other releases | 0.005 | News coverage |
Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.