IN-5 House polls 2026
J.D. Ford (D) vs Victoria Spartz (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageR+2.0the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls33 on file · 3 in the poll average
Latest field dateOct 22Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-22 (6 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
3 polls countedThe poll average, R+2.0, is of three polls, which run from R+1.0 to R+2.8. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+3.0.
Every poll on file · 3
newest added first3 in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Quantus InsightsGeneral | 634 LV | R+2.8Victoria Spartz 47.4J.D. Ford 44.6Don't know 4.7Someone else 2.2Would not vote 1.2 | 1d ago | 0.64 | Poll release | |
| ●Expedition StrategiesGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 600 LV | R+1.0Victoria Spartz 48JD Ford 47+1 other release | 7d ago | 0.51 | Pollster post | |
| ●Impact ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | — LV | R+2.0Victoria Spartz 48J.D. Ford 46 | 0.17 | Pollster post |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.