IA-3 House polls 2026
Generic Democrat (D) vs Zach Nunn (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageR+6.0the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls33 on file · 1 in the poll average · 2 not counted
Latest field dateMar 14Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-03-14 (228 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
one poll countedThe poll average is one poll: Ragnar Research Partners, fielded through Mar 14, 2026, at R+6.0. With a single poll there is no trend to draw; it is listed below.
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+4.0.
Every poll on file · 3
newest added first1 in the poll average · 2 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Ragnar Research PartnersGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 400 LV | R+6.0Zach Nunn 48Sarah Trone Garriott 42Don't know 10+1 other release | 0.04 | News coverage | ||
| Change ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 638 LV | D+3.0Generic Democrat 45Generic Republican 42Don't know 13Would not vote 1 | not in the average | Poll release | ||
| Public Policy PollingGeneral | 717 RV | Jennifer Konfrst 44Zach Nunn 44Don't know 12 | not in the average | News coverage |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.