FL-27 House polls 2026
Eliott Rodriguez (D) vs María Elvira Salazar (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageR+1.6the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls55 on file · 3 in the poll average · 2 not counted
Latest field dateOct 23Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-23 (5 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
3 polls countedThe poll average, R+1.6, is of three polls, which run from Tied to R+3.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+3.6.
Every poll on file · 5
newest added first3 in the poll average · 2 shown, not counted · 2 primary polls on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●RedBox ResearchGeneral · D sponsor · D partisan | 523 LV | R+3.0María Elvira Salazar 49Eliott Rodriguez 46 | 13h ago | 0.59 | Poll release | |
| ●Tulchin ResearchGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 600 LV | R+1.0Maria Elvira Salazar 47Eliott Rodriguez 46 | 0.40 | Pollster post | ||
| ●Bendixen & Amandi InternationalGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 600 LV | TiedEliott Rodriguez 45María Elvira Salazar 45 | 0.34 | News coverage | ||
| Blueprint PollingGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 451 RV | María Elvira Salazar 46Elliot Rodriguez 43+1 other release | pushed or reallocated variant | Poll release | ||
| Kaplan StrategiesGeneral · House | 804 LV | María Elvira Salazar 45Alex Fornino 35 | source not read by the model | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.