FL-27 House polls
Eliott Rodriguez (D) vs Republican (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateR+4.2same figure as the race page
Polls11 recorded poll · 1 eligible for the aggregate · 1 with positive weight
Latest field dateMar 8Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-03-08 (189 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 3
newest first1 in the aggregate · 2 shown, not counted · 2 primary polls on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Added | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Blueprint PollingGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 451 RV | María Elvira Salazar 46Elliot Rodriguez 43+3 other releases | 0.001 | Poll release | ||
| Kaplan StrategiesGeneral | 804 LV | María Elvira Salazar 45Alexander Fornino 35Don't know 21+3 other releases | not in the aggregate | Poll release | ||
| Kaplan StrategiesGeneral · House | 804 LV | María Elvira Salazar 45Alex Fornino 35 | not in the aggregate | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.