Race polling · HOU-FL-25

FL-25 House polls 2026

Jared Moskowitz (D) vs Scott Singer (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageD+2.6the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page

Polls66 on file · 5 in the poll average · 1 not counted

Latest field dateOct 27Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-27 (1 day old)

EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The polls and the poll average

drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its poll

Oct 28, 2026D+2.6today's poll average of 5 polls

poll in the average · area is its weight
trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average

The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.

Data table

The poll average as the edition published it for each stretch of days, and the trend line drawn over the same days.
Days	Average as it stood	Trend line
Oct 28, 2026	D+2.6	D+2.6
Oct 27, 2026	D+2.6	D+2.6
Oct 23–Oct 26, 2026	D+2.5	D+2.6
Oct 22, 2026	D+0.5	D+2.6
Oct 15–Oct 21, 2026	R+4.7	D+0.3 to D+2.5
May 2–Oct 14, 2026	D+10.0	D+10.0 to R+0.4

In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+1.7.

Every poll on file · 6

newest added first

5 in the poll average · 1 shown, not counted · 9 primary polls on file, not listed here

Pollster	Fielded	Sample	Result	Added	Weight	Source
●RedBox ResearchGeneral · D sponsor · D partisan	Oct 23, 2026	643 LV	D+6.0Jared Moskowitz 46Scott Singer 40	Oct 2812h ago	0.65	Poll release
●Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan	Oct 27, 2026	523 LV	D+6.0Jared Moskowitz 47Scott Singer 41	Oct 271d ago	0.62	Pollster post
●Public Policy PollingGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan	Oct 22, 2026	592 LV	D+5.0Jared Moskowitz 47Scott Singer 42	Oct 226d ago	0.62	Poll release
●National ResearchGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan	Oct 15, 2026	400 LV	R+7.0Scott Singer 49Jared Moskowitz 42	Oct 217d ago	0.47	Poll release
●Beacon InsightsGeneral	May 2, 2026	461 RV	D+10.0Jared Moskowitz 43Scott Singer 33	Sep 14	0.07	Poll release
Middle SeatGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan	May 6, 2026	576 LV	D+12.0Generic Democrat 51Generic Republican 39Don't know 10+2 other releases	Jul 9	tests a different matchup	News coverage

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.