FL-22 House polls 2026
Pia Dandiya (D) vs Generic Republican (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageD+1.1the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls44 on file · 2 in the poll average · 2 not counted
Latest field dateAug 31Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-31 (59 days old)
EditionOct 29the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
2 polls countedThe poll average, D+1.1, is of two polls, which run from Tied to D+2.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at even.
Every poll on file · 4
newest added first2 in the poll average · 2 shown, not counted · 1 primary poll on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Tulchin ResearchGeneral · D sponsor · D partisan | 600 UNKNOWN | D+2.0Pia Dandiya 46Generic Republican 44 | 0.34 | Poll release | ||
| Impact ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | — LV | TiedGeneric Republican 46Generic Democrat 46+1 other release | no sample size published | Poll release | ||
| ●Tavern ResearchGeneral | 551 LV | TiedPia Dandiya 50Casey Askar 50Don't know 0 | 0.26 | Poll document | ||
| GQRGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 400 LV | R+2.0Generic Republican 45Generic Democrat 43Don't know 12+1 other release | tests a different matchup | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.