FL-13 House polls
Leela Gray (D) vs Anna Paulina Luna (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateR+1.9same figure as the race page
Polls44 recorded polls · 4 eligible for the aggregate · 4 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 27Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-27 (13 days old)
EditionSep 9weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- trailing 30-day average
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 4
newest first4 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●GQRGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 500 LV | Anna Paulina Luna 47Leela Gray 44Don't know 6Tony D’Arrigo 4 | 0.142 | News coverage | |
| ●Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 400 LV | Anna Paulina Luna 49Leela Gray 41 | 0.137 | Poll release | |
| ●Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 616 RV | Anna Paulina Luna 41Leela Gray 39 | 0.012 | Poll document | |
| ●Hart Research AssociatesGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 500 LV | Leela Gray 44Anna Paulina Luna 43Tony D'Arrigo 7+3 other releases | 0.223 | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.