FL-7 House polls
Bale Dalton (D) vs Ryan Elijah (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageTiedthe polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls11 recorded poll · 1 in the poll average
Latest field dateOct 19Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-19 (1 day old)
EditionOct 20the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
one poll countedThe poll average is one poll: DCCC Targeting Team, fielded through Oct 19, 2026, at Tied. With a single poll there is no trend to draw; it is listed below.
The forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+2.0.
Every poll on file · 2
newest first1 in the poll average · 1 shown, not counted · 3 primary polls on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●DCCC Targeting TeamGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 414 LV | Generic Republican 47Generic Democrat 44+1 other release | 5h ago | 0.55 | Poll release | |
| Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 570 RV | Bale Dalton 41Cory Mills 39Don't know 19 | not in the average | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-10-20. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.