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Forecast6 days out
Race polling · HOU-CO-5

CO-5 House polls 2026

Jessica Killin (D) vs Jeff Crank (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageD+1.6the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls44 on file · 4 in the poll average
Latest field dateOct 20Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-20 (8 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The polls and the poll average

drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its poll

Oct 28, 2026D+1.6today's poll average of 4 polls

R+5EvenD+5D+10Jan ’26MarMayJulSep
  • poll in the average · area is its weight
  • trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average

The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.

Data table
The poll average as the edition published it for each stretch of days, and the trend line drawn over the same days.
DaysAverage as it stoodTrend line
Oct 28, 2026D+1.6D+1.6
Oct 20–Oct 27, 2026D+1.6D+1.6
Oct 18–Oct 19, 2026D+3.4D+1.7 to D+1.6
Jul 21–Oct 17, 2026R+1.1R+1.1 to D+1.7
Nov 3–Jul 20, 2026R+3.0R+3.0 to R+1.1

In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+0.4.

Every poll on file · 4

newest added first

4 in the poll average

PollsterFieldedSampleResultAddedWeightSource
●Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan577 LVTiedJessica Killin 47Jeff Crank 475d ago0.60Pollster post
●Global Strategy GroupGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan500 LVD+5.0Jessica Killin 43Jeff Crank 38Christopher Mitchell 4Mark G. Elworth 3+2 other releases6d ago0.54Poll release
●Global Strategy GroupGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan450 LVR+1.0Jeff Crank 45Jessica Killin 44Don't know 110.18Poll release
●Global Strategy GroupGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan450 LVR+3.0Jeff Crank 43Jessica Killin 40Don't know 13Matt Cavanaugh 50.01Poll release

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.