AZ-6 House polls 2026
JoAnna Mendoza (D) vs Juan Ciscomani (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageD+2.2the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls33 on file · 3 in the poll average
Latest field dateJun 11Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-06-11 (139 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
3 polls countedThe poll average, D+2.2, is of three polls, which run from D+1.0 to D+3.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+1.1.
Every poll on file · 3
newest added first3 in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Ragnar Research PartnersGeneral · House · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 400 LV | D+1.0Dem 43Rep 42+2 other releases | 0.04 | News coverage | ||
| ●Public Policy PollingGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 581 LV | D+1.0JoAnna Mendoza 42Juan Ciscomani 41+1 other release | 0.01 | Poll document | ||
| ●Normington, Petts & AssociatesGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 500 LV | D+2.0JoAnna Mendoza 47Juan Ciscomani 45 | 0.12 | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.